{
  "schema": "darkoza.existence-problem.v1",
  "title": "Synthetic demonstration — build a reproducible discovery capability",
  "scenario_type": "synthetic_fixture_not_live_data",
  "resource_budget": {
    "cpu_hours": 8,
    "disk_gib": 4,
    "cash_usd": 0
  },
  "mission_weights": {
    "discover": 0.3,
    "create": 0.2,
    "preserve": 0.3,
    "evolve": 0.2
  },
  "current_capabilities": [
    "baseline_inventory",
    "version_control"
  ],
  "target_capabilities": [
    "independently_replicated_result"
  ],
  "observations": [
    {
      "id": "fixture_dataset_access",
      "status": "verified",
      "source": "fixture:synthetic-dataset-access",
      "claim": "Synthetic fixture represents an available, licensed dataset."
    },
    {
      "id": "recovery_key_available",
      "status": "hypothesis",
      "source": "",
      "claim": "A recovery key is available and usable."
    }
  ],
  "constraints": {
    "max_risk_per_action": 0.35,
    "max_total_risk": 0.5,
    "max_plan_steps": 3,
    "require_reversible": true,
    "allow_approval_required": false
  },
  "actions": [
    {
      "id": "evidence_contract",
      "title": "Define a measurable evidence contract",
      "requires": [
        "baseline_inventory"
      ],
      "provides": [
        "evidence_contract",
        "reproducible_measurement"
      ],
      "requires_observations": [],
      "conflicts_with": [],
      "cost": {
        "cpu_hours": 0.5,
        "disk_gib": 0.1,
        "cash_usd": 0
      },
      "effects": {
        "discover": 7,
        "create": 4,
        "preserve": 8,
        "evolve": 7
      },
      "confidence": 0.96,
      "risk": 0.03,
      "evidence_grade": "tested",
      "reversible": true,
      "approval_required": false,
      "preconditions": [
        "Baseline inventory is readable.",
        "Metric definitions are fixed before the experiment."
      ],
      "verification": [
        "Schema validation passes.",
        "Every claim has a source, timestamp and status."
      ],
      "success_metrics": [
        "100% of experiment claims carry provenance.",
        "Baseline and success thresholds are machine-readable."
      ],
      "rollback": "Remove the generated contract file; no source dataset or production configuration is changed."
    },
    {
      "id": "isolated_replay_lab",
      "title": "Create an isolated, replayable experiment boundary",
      "requires": [
        "evidence_contract"
      ],
      "provides": [
        "isolated_replay",
        "rollback_boundary"
      ],
      "requires_observations": [],
      "conflicts_with": [],
      "cost": {
        "cpu_hours": 1,
        "disk_gib": 0.5,
        "cash_usd": 0
      },
      "effects": {
        "discover": 6,
        "create": 6,
        "preserve": 9,
        "evolve": 8
      },
      "confidence": 0.91,
      "risk": 0.06,
      "evidence_grade": "pilot",
      "reversible": true,
      "approval_required": false,
      "preconditions": [
        "Evidence contract is validated.",
        "Experiment runs in a separate workspace."
      ],
      "verification": [
        "Replay produces the same input digest.",
        "Rollback returns the workspace to its baseline."
      ],
      "success_metrics": [
        "One clean replay succeeds.",
        "No writes escape the isolated workspace."
      ],
      "rollback": "Discard the isolated workspace and retain the original inputs."
    },
    {
      "id": "independent_replication",
      "title": "Run an independent replication test",
      "requires": [
        "isolated_replay",
        "reproducible_measurement"
      ],
      "provides": [
        "independently_replicated_result"
      ],
      "requires_observations": [
        "fixture_dataset_access"
      ],
      "conflicts_with": [],
      "cost": {
        "cpu_hours": 2,
        "disk_gib": 1.5,
        "cash_usd": 0
      },
      "effects": {
        "discover": 10,
        "create": 4,
        "preserve": 8,
        "evolve": 9
      },
      "confidence": 0.72,
      "risk": 0.12,
      "evidence_grade": "hypothesis",
      "reversible": true,
      "approval_required": false,
      "preconditions": [
        "Dataset provenance is verified.",
        "Experiment protocol is frozen."
      ],
      "verification": [
        "Independent run completes from clean inputs.",
        "Results and deviations are recorded."
      ],
      "success_metrics": [
        "Replication variance remains within the declared tolerance."
      ],
      "rollback": "Discard temporary outputs; keep the immutable source data and experiment protocol."
    },
    {
      "id": "package_reusable_capability",
      "title": "Package the validated method as a reusable capability",
      "requires": [
        "independently_replicated_result"
      ],
      "provides": [
        "reusable_capability_package"
      ],
      "requires_observations": [],
      "conflicts_with": [],
      "cost": {
        "cpu_hours": 1,
        "disk_gib": 0.4,
        "cash_usd": 0
      },
      "effects": {
        "discover": 5,
        "create": 9,
        "preserve": 8,
        "evolve": 10
      },
      "confidence": 0.82,
      "risk": 0.08,
      "evidence_grade": "hypothesis",
      "reversible": true,
      "approval_required": false,
      "preconditions": [
        "Replication result is independently verified."
      ],
      "verification": [
        "Package build is reproducible.",
        "Tests pass in a clean environment."
      ],
      "success_metrics": [
        "A second project can reuse the capability without copying its internal state."
      ],
      "rollback": "Remove the generated package release; preserve the verified experiment record."
    },
    {
      "id": "independent_peer_review",
      "title": "Request independent technical review",
      "requires": [
        "independently_replicated_result"
      ],
      "provides": [
        "independent_review_record"
      ],
      "requires_observations": [],
      "conflicts_with": [],
      "cost": {
        "cpu_hours": 0.25,
        "disk_gib": 0.05,
        "cash_usd": 0
      },
      "effects": {
        "discover": 8,
        "create": 2,
        "preserve": 9,
        "evolve": 7
      },
      "confidence": 0.65,
      "risk": 0.03,
      "evidence_grade": "hypothesis",
      "reversible": true,
      "approval_required": false,
      "preconditions": [
        "Reproduction artifacts are shareable without exposing private data."
      ],
      "verification": [
        "Review comments and disposition are archived."
      ],
      "success_metrics": [
        "All critical findings are resolved or explicitly left open."
      ],
      "rollback": "Withdraw the review request and retain the private evidence package."
    },
    {
      "id": "publish_unreviewed_claim",
      "title": "Publish an unreviewed high-impact claim",
      "requires": [
        "evidence_contract"
      ],
      "provides": [
        "public_claim"
      ],
      "requires_observations": [],
      "conflicts_with": [],
      "cost": {
        "cpu_hours": 0.2,
        "disk_gib": 0.01,
        "cash_usd": 0
      },
      "effects": {
        "discover": 2,
        "create": 4,
        "preserve": 0,
        "evolve": 2
      },
      "confidence": 0.35,
      "risk": 0.9,
      "evidence_grade": "unknown",
      "reversible": false,
      "approval_required": true,
      "preconditions": [
        "Independent review must be complete."
      ],
      "verification": [
        "All factual claims have independently checked sources."
      ],
      "success_metrics": [
        "No unsupported public claim remains."
      ],
      "rollback": "Issue a public correction and withdraw the claim; reputational harm may not be reversible."
    }
  ]
}