{
  "schema": "darkoza.existence-plan.v1",
  "engine": "darkoza-epc-0.1",
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-11-03T12:00:00Z",
  "title": "Synthetic demonstration — build a reproducible discovery capability",
  "input_digest_sha256": "ab0a8a661def5c01fe858c8c844c2837fb8b0d4e74976b8e8dcd2969c53209c1",
  "status": "target_reached",
  "decision": "PLAN_ONLY_NO_EXECUTION",
  "execution_performed": false,
  "search": {
    "states_explored": 4,
    "truncated_at_limit": false,
    "max_plan_steps": 3
  },
  "scoring_policy": {
    "mission_weights": {
      "discover": 0.3,
      "create": 0.2,
      "preserve": 0.3,
      "evolve": 0.2
    },
    "direct_value": "sum(weighted_effects * declared_confidence)",
    "option_value": "new immediate next-step proposals unlocked by the plan, weighted by confidence and risk",
    "option_bonus": "2 * ln(1 + newly_unlocked_option_value)",
    "risk_penalty": "4 * sum(action risk)",
    "uncertainty_penalty": "1.5 * sum(weighted_effect * (1 - declared confidence))",
    "resource_penalty": "1.5 * mean fraction of declared budgets consumed",
    "target_bonus": "4 * fraction of target capabilities reached",
    "important": "All effects, confidence, risk and costs are input estimates, not independently measured facts."
  },
  "recommended_plan": {
    "actions": [
      "evidence_contract",
      "isolated_replay_lab",
      "independent_replication"
    ],
    "capabilities_after": [
      "baseline_inventory",
      "evidence_contract",
      "independently_replicated_result",
      "isolated_replay",
      "reproducible_measurement",
      "rollback_boundary",
      "version_control"
    ],
    "target_capabilities_reached": [
      "independently_replicated_result"
    ],
    "target_progress": 1.0,
    "direct_value": 18.835,
    "newly_unlocked_options": [
      {
        "id": "independent_peer_review",
        "title": "Request independent technical review",
        "weighted_potential": 6.9,
        "minimum_next_step": true
      },
      {
        "id": "package_reusable_capability",
        "title": "Package the validated method as a reusable capability",
        "weighted_potential": 7.7,
        "minimum_next_step": true
      }
    ],
    "new_option_value": 9.6742,
    "risk_total": 0.21,
    "resource_use": {
      "cpu_hours": {
        "used": 3.5,
        "budget": 8
      },
      "disk_gib": {
        "used": 2.1,
        "budget": 4
      },
      "cash_usd": {
        "used": 0.0,
        "budget": 0
      }
    },
    "resource_burden": 0.48125,
    "score_components": {
      "option_bonus": 4.7357,
      "risk_penalty": 0.84,
      "uncertainty_penalty": 4.7475,
      "resource_penalty": 0.7219,
      "irreversibility_penalty": 0.0,
      "approval_penalty": 0.0,
      "target_bonus": 4.0
    },
    "score": 21.2613,
    "requires_human_approval": false
  },
  "experiment_contracts": [
    {
      "action_id": "evidence_contract",
      "title": "Define a measurable evidence contract",
      "status": "proposed_not_executed",
      "preconditions": [
        "Baseline inventory is readable.",
        "Metric definitions are fixed before the experiment."
      ],
      "required_observations": [],
      "success_metrics": [
        "100% of experiment claims carry provenance.",
        "Baseline and success thresholds are machine-readable."
      ],
      "verification": [
        "Schema validation passes.",
        "Every claim has a source, timestamp and status."
      ],
      "rollback": "Remove the generated contract file; no source dataset or production configuration is changed.",
      "reversible": true,
      "approval_required": false,
      "evidence_grade": "tested",
      "predicted_effects_not_measured": {
        "discover": 7.0,
        "create": 4.0,
        "preserve": 8.0,
        "evolve": 7.0
      }
    },
    {
      "action_id": "isolated_replay_lab",
      "title": "Create an isolated, replayable experiment boundary",
      "status": "proposed_not_executed",
      "preconditions": [
        "Evidence contract is validated.",
        "Experiment runs in a separate workspace."
      ],
      "required_observations": [],
      "success_metrics": [
        "One clean replay succeeds.",
        "No writes escape the isolated workspace."
      ],
      "verification": [
        "Replay produces the same input digest.",
        "Rollback returns the workspace to its baseline."
      ],
      "rollback": "Discard the isolated workspace and retain the original inputs.",
      "reversible": true,
      "approval_required": false,
      "evidence_grade": "pilot",
      "predicted_effects_not_measured": {
        "discover": 6.0,
        "create": 6.0,
        "preserve": 9.0,
        "evolve": 8.0
      }
    },
    {
      "action_id": "independent_replication",
      "title": "Run an independent replication test",
      "status": "proposed_not_executed",
      "preconditions": [
        "Dataset provenance is verified.",
        "Experiment protocol is frozen."
      ],
      "required_observations": [
        "fixture_dataset_access"
      ],
      "success_metrics": [
        "Replication variance remains within the declared tolerance."
      ],
      "verification": [
        "Independent run completes from clean inputs.",
        "Results and deviations are recorded."
      ],
      "rollback": "Discard temporary outputs; keep the immutable source data and experiment protocol.",
      "reversible": true,
      "approval_required": false,
      "evidence_grade": "hypothesis",
      "predicted_effects_not_measured": {
        "discover": 10.0,
        "create": 4.0,
        "preserve": 8.0,
        "evolve": 9.0
      }
    }
  ],
  "pareto_alternatives": [
    {
      "actions": [
        "evidence_contract",
        "isolated_replay_lab",
        "independent_replication"
      ],
      "capabilities_after": [
        "baseline_inventory",
        "evidence_contract",
        "independently_replicated_result",
        "isolated_replay",
        "reproducible_measurement",
        "rollback_boundary",
        "version_control"
      ],
      "target_capabilities_reached": [
        "independently_replicated_result"
      ],
      "target_progress": 1.0,
      "direct_value": 18.835,
      "newly_unlocked_options": [
        {
          "id": "independent_peer_review",
          "title": "Request independent technical review",
          "weighted_potential": 6.9,
          "minimum_next_step": true
        },
        {
          "id": "package_reusable_capability",
          "title": "Package the validated method as a reusable capability",
          "weighted_potential": 7.7,
          "minimum_next_step": true
        }
      ],
      "new_option_value": 9.6742,
      "risk_total": 0.21,
      "resource_use": {
        "cpu_hours": {
          "used": 3.5,
          "budget": 8
        },
        "disk_gib": {
          "used": 2.1,
          "budget": 4
        },
        "cash_usd": {
          "used": 0.0,
          "budget": 0
        }
      },
      "resource_burden": 0.48125,
      "score_components": {
        "option_bonus": 4.7357,
        "risk_penalty": 0.84,
        "uncertainty_penalty": 4.7475,
        "resource_penalty": 0.7219,
        "irreversibility_penalty": 0.0,
        "approval_penalty": 0.0,
        "target_bonus": 4.0
      },
      "score": 21.2613,
      "requires_human_approval": false
    },
    {
      "actions": [
        "evidence_contract",
        "isolated_replay_lab"
      ],
      "capabilities_after": [
        "baseline_inventory",
        "evidence_contract",
        "isolated_replay",
        "reproducible_measurement",
        "rollback_boundary",
        "version_control"
      ],
      "target_capabilities_reached": [],
      "target_progress": 0.0,
      "direct_value": 13.075,
      "newly_unlocked_options": [
        {
          "id": "independent_replication",
          "title": "Run an independent replication test",
          "weighted_potential": 8.0,
          "minimum_next_step": true
        }
      ],
      "new_option_value": 4.6452,
      "risk_total": 0.09,
      "resource_use": {
        "cpu_hours": {
          "used": 1.5,
          "budget": 8
        },
        "disk_gib": {
          "used": 0.6,
          "budget": 4
        },
        "cash_usd": {
          "used": 0.0,
          "budget": 0
        }
      },
      "resource_burden": 0.16875,
      "score_components": {
        "option_bonus": 3.4616,
        "risk_penalty": 0.36,
        "uncertainty_penalty": 1.3875,
        "resource_penalty": 0.2531,
        "irreversibility_penalty": 0.0,
        "approval_penalty": 0.0,
        "target_bonus": 0.0
      },
      "score": 14.536,
      "requires_human_approval": false
    },
    {
      "actions": [
        "evidence_contract"
      ],
      "capabilities_after": [
        "baseline_inventory",
        "evidence_contract",
        "reproducible_measurement",
        "version_control"
      ],
      "target_capabilities_reached": [],
      "target_progress": 0.0,
      "direct_value": 6.432,
      "newly_unlocked_options": [
        {
          "id": "isolated_replay_lab",
          "title": "Create an isolated, replayable experiment boundary",
          "weighted_potential": 7.3,
          "minimum_next_step": true
        }
      ],
      "new_option_value": 5.9312,
      "risk_total": 0.03,
      "resource_use": {
        "cpu_hours": {
          "used": 0.5,
          "budget": 8
        },
        "disk_gib": {
          "used": 0.1,
          "budget": 4
        },
        "cash_usd": {
          "used": 0.0,
          "budget": 0
        }
      },
      "resource_burden": 0.04375,
      "score_components": {
        "option_bonus": 3.8721,
        "risk_penalty": 0.12,
        "uncertainty_penalty": 0.402,
        "resource_penalty": 0.0656,
        "irreversibility_penalty": 0.0,
        "approval_penalty": 0.0,
        "target_bonus": 0.0
      },
      "score": 9.7165,
      "requires_human_approval": false
    },
    {
      "actions": [],
      "capabilities_after": [
        "baseline_inventory",
        "version_control"
      ],
      "target_capabilities_reached": [],
      "target_progress": 0.0,
      "direct_value": 0,
      "newly_unlocked_options": [],
      "new_option_value": 0,
      "risk_total": 0.0,
      "resource_use": {
        "cpu_hours": {
          "used": 0.0,
          "budget": 8
        },
        "disk_gib": {
          "used": 0.0,
          "budget": 4
        },
        "cash_usd": {
          "used": 0.0,
          "budget": 0
        }
      },
      "resource_burden": 0.0,
      "score_components": {
        "option_bonus": 0.0,
        "risk_penalty": 0.0,
        "uncertainty_penalty": 0.0,
        "resource_penalty": 0.0,
        "irreversibility_penalty": 0.0,
        "approval_penalty": 0.0,
        "target_bonus": 0.0
      },
      "score": 0.0,
      "requires_human_approval": false
    }
  ],
  "actions_blocked_from_initial_state": [
    {
      "id": "independent_peer_review",
      "title": "Request independent technical review",
      "reasons": [
        "missing_capabilities:independently_replicated_result"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "independent_replication",
      "title": "Run an independent replication test",
      "reasons": [
        "missing_capabilities:isolated_replay,reproducible_measurement"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "isolated_replay_lab",
      "title": "Create an isolated, replayable experiment boundary",
      "reasons": [
        "missing_capabilities:evidence_contract"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "package_reusable_capability",
      "title": "Package the validated method as a reusable capability",
      "reasons": [
        "missing_capabilities:independently_replicated_result"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "publish_unreviewed_claim",
      "title": "Publish an unreviewed high-impact claim",
      "reasons": [
        "missing_capabilities:evidence_contract",
        "per_action_risk_limit",
        "cumulative_risk_limit",
        "reversibility_required",
        "approval_not_permitted"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "interpretation": [
    "Newly unlocked options are immediate next steps only; they are not selected or executed.",
    "Deeper opportunity reach, unlisted alternatives and external constraints are not inferred.",
    "A feasible plan is not an execution authorization or evidence that predicted effects occurred.",
    "Human approval, identity checks, and a separate executor remain external requirements."
  ],
  "decision_digest_sha256": "3175cd334e72a627e30d04c7eea43a06b00daf38ccda6f284f0f9d139eb8ee50"
}